Poll: Congressional Candidate Ruben Gallego Has 8-Point Lead Over Mary Rose Wilcox

Categories: Election 2014

WilcoxGallegoD7.jpg
Ruben Gallego and Mary Rose Wilcox

UPDATE: Wilcox's spokesman has responded to the poll. See updates below.

A recent poll solicited by Congressional candidate Ruben Gallego reveals that he's eight points ahead of his primary challenger, Mary Rose Wilcox.

The survey released by Camp Gallego finds that Gallego has 32 percent of voters on his side, while Wilcox has 24 percent.

The other Democratic candidates in the race for Arizona's 7th Congressional District shared a mere 6 percent of the vote -- Randy Camacho with 4 percent and the Reverend Jarrett Maupin with 2 percent.

Independent Jose Penalosa and Libertarian Joe Cobb also are running for the CD7 seat.

See also:
-Ruben Gallego Ahead of Mary Rose Wilcox in Congressional Race, Poll Says
-Gallego Responds to Name-Change Complaint

We've got a call into Wilcox's campaign spokesman for their take on the survey, and to see whether they've conducted any of their own polling.

The survey also details that Gallego's favorable rating is now at 51 percent, up from an earlier survey conducted in May that indicated only 43 percent of Democrats likely to vote in CD7 had a favorable opinion of him.

By comparison, the Gallego-funded poll shows that voters' favorable opinion of Wilcox has dropped from 48 percent to 40. And voters' unfavorable opinion of the former Maricopa County Supervisor has gone up three points -- from 27 to 30 percent.

Similarly, Gallego's unfavorable rating increased from 6 percent to 11 percent.

Lake Research Partners conducted the 400-person survey from July 20 to July 22 by contacting people on their cell and landline phones. There is a +/- 4.9 percent margin of error.

Gallego's campaign claims that the survey shows that "Gallego has strengthened his position since the spring and that Wilcox's attacks on Gallego have backfired, damaging her own favorability ratings without affecting Gallego's. As the campaign heads into its final month it is clear that given the resources, Gallego is in a strong position to win this race."

UPDATE July 29: Sam Castañeda Holdren, a spokesman for Mary Rose Wilcox's campaign for U.S. Congress, says that a recent poll showing her eight points behind really only shows that the race is anyone's to win.

It appears 38 percent of voters are undecided, according to Gallego's poll.

"If you take that poll at face value, 'undecided' is in first place. That tells us this race is wide open," he says. "But what we're actually hearing from the people that we're talking to everyday at their doors and on the phone is that Mary Rose is someone they can trust."

Got a tip? Send it to: Monica Alonzo.

Follow Valley Fever on Twitter at @ValleyFeverPHX.
Follow Monica Alonzo on Twitter at @MAD_Blogger.


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53 comments
joseeribes
joseeribes

ruben gallego is not a man of his word

      he said he was going to donate toys to the familys in guadelupe but he says never mind just because he got in a small argument with the mayor i usually dont do pollitcs but this sounds like he is not a man of his word mary rose actually puts effort into her work she helps out the community and ruben is to busy making up lies about mary rose while mary rose is nice enough and points out the odds of ruben

Zapata
Zapata

Mary Rose Wilcox merece nuestro voto.  Mary Rose Wilcox deserves our vote.

Viva Mary Rose

Viva Maria Rosa

Zapata
Zapata

Monica, perhaps you should be inquiring about why Gallego is not showing up to candidate debates and forums.  What is he afraid of? 

Perhaps, is it because Gallego looks wimpy and keeps losing his debates.  His experience cannot compare any where near Mary Rose's.  He's not from Arizona, doesn't know our communities, nor our people.  He needs at least 20 more years in our District to know US.  Right now he is blind to US, being led by his ego and the divisive elements of our district.  He is the worst choice for District 7.

Gallego is a carpet bagger.  And who knows what else his past might reveal?  I hope he has the "huevos" to tell the voters who he really is.

We need a proven leader.  Someone that is not afraid to take on the big boys, like Sheriff Arpaio, and his hencemen, plus Maricopa County Andrew Thomas.  District 7 needs someone in Washington that has represented them in the past and has earned our trust. 

District 7 will make history by sending our first Latina to congress, representing US.  My family and friends will be voting for Mary Rose Wilcox.  She's earned it.

Zapata
Zapata

Monica, why are your stories on Congressional District 7 so lop sided for Gallego?  Are you by chance related to Ruben Alonzo, Gallego's campaign manager?  It seems that you are taking for truths everything that is printed in his campaign literature. 

The New Times is fastly becoming biased in it's reporting, again.  Why isn't the New Times giving Mary Rose Wilcox credit for harnessing that racist Sheriff Arpaio.  But, people are beginning to see right through your words. 

Even if you are not related to Ruben Alonzo, you are doing an injustice to your profession.  Your profession demands that you be fair and balanced in your reporting.  Otherwise, you are nothing but a puppet or a propagandist.

sal.krico
sal.krico

Well let's see...Team Gallego makes their own poll, slanted their way and then announces to the press that they're ahead of Mary Rose Wilcox.  I'm not surprised that the New Times fell for this trick.  Oh wait, there must be someone working for the New Times that is in cahoots with the carpet bagger Gallego.

It looks like it is Gallego who is desperate.  He's portraying himself at money leader, but he's run out of contacts.  Mary Rose is just starting.  He's trying to portray himself as a fresh new leader, but means that he doesn't know our communities, because he's carpet bagging.  He thinks that he can bring people together, but has alienated the Black community and is a DIVIDER OF PEOPLE. 

His vision is of himself in Washington and his wife in Phoenix...politically. 

Mary Rose Wilcox has represented our communities for 30 years.  She has proven herself to US and will serve US well in the U.S. House of Representatives. 

rh19541954
rh19541954

Arizona has been a magnet for social misfits from all over the USA, the minute men, assorted domestic terrorists such as Neo-Nazi's, Sovereign Citizens etc., to many to name them all, the good thing is these folks tend to lean to the Republican Party/Tea Party which is dividing the GOP into two camps and a divided house is notorious for falling! I see the writing on the wall, these social misfits and their "leaders" favored elected officials are much like the dinosaur, doomed!

Gary Olney
Gary Olney

I just hope that she sequels like a pig ,just the way she did when she got shot.

Henry Godski
Henry Godski

Congratulations; Correct on all 4. Also U.S. Army Veteran, Patriot, Read & Investigate the issues of ALL Candidates running for any office, And proud supporter of Sheriff Joe!

Cozz
Cozz topcommenter

Anything is better than Wilcox at this point.


Patrick Brennan
Patrick Brennan

What are MRW's positions on social issues and marijuana? What in the world is her platform?

Patrick Brennan
Patrick Brennan

It's a good thing when the candidate with a platform leads. MRW's attacks just make her look worse and worse.

Matt Gautchier
Matt Gautchier

That dude is gonna do good things for medical pot, got my vote... if I actually voted lol

Henry Godski
Henry Godski

Two worthless pieces of monkey crap that have no business in public service.

66rock
66rock topcommenter

Good, time to retire her from public office. She is an embarrassment to us women and Democrats in my opinion.   Gee Rosie, maybe you should have thought again about suing us county taxpayers. 

AkaTed
AkaTed

State Senator Yee is next on the chopping block with another Veteran eyeing her seat as well

AkaTed
AkaTed

Game Over Mary turn your back on Veterans now you'll be kicked out of office  by a Veteran. Too funny how Mary talked all that noise at PTSD Science over Politics  rally how she cared about Veteran's and had a family member with PTSD but failed veterans miserably in VA scandal

Marco Cruz
Marco Cruz

If you dont vote for our mexican leader youre fuckin racist, PURO WILCOX, PURO LA RAZA. THIS IS MEXICO!!!

AkaTed
AkaTed

@Zapata I do find it funny that Gallego raised a 160K after the PTSD rally

sal.krico
sal.krico

@FRONTERA 

Do you mean Gallego the CARPET BAGGER? McCain had no roots when he carpet bagged himself into Arizona and we could never get him out.  Now Gallego carpet bags himself from back east, via South America.  Carpet baggers are not good for our community and Gallego is a carpet bagger.  Who is he?  Where did he grow up? 

Mary Rose Wilcox knows our community.   Mary Rose know our residents.  And more so, she has proven herself to us.   I'm spreading the word to family and friends in District 7 to vote for Mary Rose Wilcox. 

 Mary Rose Wilcox has a lot of votes from my family and friends.

AkaTed
AkaTed

@rh19541954 These Racist Doomed Dinosaurs are going to love it when they are in SNF's or Skilled Nursing Facility's  and having people of color taking care of them 

Zapata
Zapata

Have you ever wondered how your squeal might sound like?  Have you been canoeing the rapids lately? 

I take offence that you make light and fun of an assassination attempt on her life, our leader, nuestro lidere.   What kind of upbringing did you have to have made you such an ugly s.o.b. I wouldn't wish this on you or your kin. 

But, if you are an NRA member like Gallego is or was and it looks like you have potential for violence and also that you get a kick out of it,

Do yourself a favor and turn yourself in before the feds get to you.

sal.krico
sal.krico

Gary Olney...Supports the bigot Arpaio, Tea Bagger (?), border watcher (?)...supremist...separatist (?). 

Doesn't really matter, he's an Arpaio supporter, nuff said.

AkaTed
AkaTed

Making a mockery of someone getting shot or bashing someone who has been shot on that matter is not cool.Please don't pat yourself on the back on that comment your full of FAIL on that note

AkaTed
AkaTed

Nope he was Marine please read again and yourself being a supporter of Sheriff Joe who blatantly promotes racism in this state has been the down fall of Arizona. Times are changing though Sheriff Joe the racist Dinosaur's time is winding down. Along with the Racist Baby Boomers hitting nursing facilty's

sal.krico
sal.krico

She supports U.S. President Obama's stance on marijuana.  And Obama's stance is for the States to make their own laws on it.  And for veterans, here in Arizona,  that means that they will not be denied any benefits earned while in service to our country. 

Mary Rose Wilcox supports President Obama. 

And my family and friends support our President and Mary Rose Wilcox. 

sal.krico
sal.krico

Gallego has his share of attack mail outs.  He has flat faced lied to reporters about his conduct.  I won't vote for a liar. 

AkaTed
AkaTed

Ruben is a stand up guy just hope he cut's his dispensary ties and put's Arizona citizens first not just being in a position of power to help those pass law's to profit 

AkaTed
AkaTed

Ruben is a Combat Vet in my eyes majority of politicians will never put a M4 over there shoulder and go fight 

sal.krico
sal.krico

@66rock 

You should be telling Joe Arpaio about why his actions cost the county over $44,000,000. 

Zapata
Zapata

@AkaTed 

Mary Rose Wilcox has never turned her back on veterans and will only support veteran causes directly. 

I'm a American Legionnaire from a post within her district.  And I know, they have received her full support over the years.  Nothing but false propaganda that you are spreading. 

Rumor mongers spread nothing but lies from forked tongues.

sal.krico
sal.krico

You are more stupid than what you look like.

sal.krico
sal.krico

@AkaTed 

 $$$ Money donated to his campaign from marijuana dispensaries?  Gallego is a sleaze.  And a carpet bagger. 

Zapata
Zapata

@AkaTed 

And what else do you know about him?  You and I only know what is in his literature.  What he wants you to know and nothing more.

He is an unknown, an outsider, a carpet bagger.  He should be running for office from where he came from.  Somewhere back east or South America. 

AkaTed
AkaTed

Gallego is a first-generation American. Along with his three sisters, he was raised by a single mother.[1] On August 7, 2008, Ruben Marinelarena changed his name to Ruben Marinelarena Gallego to honor his single mother. [2]Gallego is married to Kate Gallego, a councilwoman on the Phoenix City Council.[3] He graduated from Harvard University in 2004

66rock
66rock topcommenter

@sal.krico @66rock  Well I did by donating to his opponent last time, didn't work I'm afraid.  They both need to go.

sal.krico
sal.krico

@AkaTed 

What District 7 residents want is a U.S. Representative that represents US. 

Gallego didn't grow up here or knows our communities.  He's from back east, by way of South America. 

Mary Rose Wilcox family has lived in Arizona for generations.  And she has represented us extremely well over the years.  It's time for us to give her up to go to Washington. 

Mary Rose Wilcox merece nuestra voto.

Mary Rose Wilcox deserves our vote.

AkaTed
AkaTed

We need more politicians like him  

Zapata
Zapata

@66rock 

I know that you don't represent the majority of women voters in Congressional District 7. I know for a fact that the majority of women in District 7 support Mary Rose.  They've voted for Mary Rose in the past and will vote for her again.

Zapata
Zapata

@AkaTed @sal.krico 

This sounds interesting.  Which law enforcement agency is doing the raiding?  Sheriff Joe and his personal henchmen?  If the New Times doesn't follow this tip, maybe Channel 5's investigative unit will step up to this issue. 

Gallego should return this money.  Shame on him.  Is he a pot smoker?  Does he have a valid medical marijuana card?  Does he have a health issue that District 7 voters should know of? 

Who is this guy?

AkaTed
AkaTed

@Zapata @sal.krico I personally dont care to expose frauds in are system and for me I have nothing to lose or take away 

Zapata
Zapata

@AkaTed @Zapata @sal.krico 

What was stated is a possible corruption case.  The money trail should be followed to it's designation and destination.  Whether it be to law enforcement or Gallego.

Dark money.  Or illegal moneys? 

AkaTed
AkaTed

@Zapata @AkaTed @sal.krico I was led to believe that Ruben would go after Yee not Mary at the PTSD rally.I'm also hated by the dispensary's because I fight for PTSD patient's not people that are profiting off of others misery.


Like I did in hospitals I fought for people that had NO voice.I have nothing lose or to take away do to PTSD and SSDI process and my entire family wiped out.


As far as where the money is going I'm not a investigator.If Ruben is taking money from the dispensary's and Lobbyist to help pass laws for those who profit then he has no integrity at all. I still respect him for fighting for are country and having a degree from Harvard



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