Are You Buyin' the Poll That Shows President Obama and Mitt Romney "Dead Even" in Arizona?

Categories: Morning Poll
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President Obama and Mitt Romney are "dead even" in Arizona, according to a poll of the state's voters released this week.

The thought of Obama winning Arizona -- which the president's campaign contends is possibly -- seems to come and go each week, depending on how poll results turn out, but this one appears to give Obama a shot.

See also:
-President Obama, Mitt Romney "Dead Even" in Arizona, if Poll Is to Be Trusted
-Obama Winning Arizona: Not as Dumb of an Idea as People Thought
-Obama Winning Arizona Sounds Like a Dumb Idea Again

The voting habits of Arizonans in past years haven't exactly hinted at the desert people warming up to Democrats -- seven of the 10 members of Arizona's congressional delegation are Republicans. Republicans own the state House, the state Senate, and almost all of the state's executive branch positions.

Senator John McCain won Arizona easily during his presidential bid, although he's from here, of course.

This specific poll -- which actually shows Obama up two percentage points, which is within the margin of error -- also used somewhat of a small sample size of 500 people.

However, the company that did the poll finds its results -- which also showed Richard Carmona with a lead over Congressman Jeff Flake in the Senate race -- legitimate.

"Thus it must be concluded that Arizona is definitely a battleground state for both the Presidential and the U.S. Senate races and there can be little doubt but that the outcome will be largely dependent on which political party does the best job in turning out its voters and whether the Democrats can hang on to the Latino vote," the pollsters' release says.

The poll shows Obama with 42 percent, and Romney with 40 percent. Arizona Latinos favor Obama over Romney by 77 to 10 percent, and Obama's purportedly up 46-39 in Maricopa County.

Are you buyin' these poll results? Cast your vote below:




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14 comments
Ryan D Russell
Ryan D Russell

I don't buy it. There are too many white bigots here for those numbers to be believable.

Rick Rodinis
Rick Rodinis

HUMANITARIAN JAN BREWER?!!! That's almost as funny as Sheriff Joe the humanitarian. HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!

James Rate-McIntyre
James Rate-McIntyre

Yes. I overheard large groups of old white men at golf clubs over the weekend discussing how pissed they were that they needed to vote for Obama. If the old white golf crowd isn't on board anymore, there's a legit chance for an upset here.

maxonepercent
maxonepercent

I would like to know how they selected the 500 people they polled.  One of the big problems with these polls is that they only call registered democrats and republicans, they completely ignore "independents" altogether (who are leaning toward Romney big time this election cycle).  Also, many of these skewed polls have also either intentionally or accidentally ended up interviewing more democrats than republicans, which is obviously going to result in unreliable data.  Since this organization seems unwilling to release more details about the people they polled I think that is a pretty good indication that this poll is garbage.

Brandon Doyle
Brandon Doyle

Who cares really. The important issue is making sure that Fucktart Arpaio doesn't win again. So sick of that guy's face....

Fred Isaac
Fred Isaac

either way the political agenda is the same.. vote obama or romney.. dont matter.. we will have the same outcome...

Mike Cruz
Mike Cruz

Yes, I do! Obama is buoyed by Pima County Democrats, Undecideds in the rest of the state; Romney is being dragged down by, of course, our humanitarian governor Jan Brewer.

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