Russell Pearce: Will CapTimes Throw Him a Bone? (Update: No Bone for Russ, Lewis Leads)

meanruss.jpg
Will the CapTimes lend Russ a hand ce soir?

See update below. CT just bit its master's paw.

The news that the Arizona Capitol Times, the semi-official mouthpiece of the Arizona Legislature, has a poll on the LD 18 recall race it's releasing tonight at 6 p.m. on ABC 15, should have the camps of both challenger Jerry Lewis and incumbent state Senator Russell Pearce on tenterhooks.

Given CapTimes' serious investment in the status quo, I have to wonder if it'll throw ol' Russ a bone. A poll at this point showing the embattled state Senate president ahead would help suppress the vote in LD18, and assist Pearce in beating the recall.

According to county elections Director Karen Osborne, as of last count,13,540 early ballots have been returned to the county from LD18. That's out of an estimated 28,000 that were mailed to LD18 voters. My calculator (and hopefully yours) crunches that as a 48 percent return rate.

Osborne said the county begins tabulation sometime Friday, but it is forbidden to announce any results until 8 p.m. November 8. There are 70,000 registered voters in LD18. So about 40 percent of folks vote by e.b.

Those with ballots have until 7 p.m. on Tuesday to drop them off at any of the recorder's locations or any polling place on election day.  

No matter what the CapTimes/ABC 15 drops tonight, keep in mind, this battle will be won or lost by the GOTV (Get Out the Vote) effort. The so-called "experts" have been wrong several times through this recall process. Be wary of trusting them again.

UPDATE 6:06PM: Fun-ny. Even the state Capitol's official broadsheet is abandoning its master. The CapTimes' poll shows Lewis with a small, 46-43 percent lead, which is within the poll's margin of error.

As I reported in this week's commentary, Pearce's long political career of hate and slime is nearing an end

But now is not the time for Pearce-foes to take a breather. The margin is too close. Sham candidate Olivia Cortes is still pulling 2.5 percent. And the poll shows 8.5 percent undecided. 

Fortunately, Citizens for a Better Arizona and its small GOTV army know this. And they will not rest.

Oh, and grok this weird analysis from the CapTimers: that one of the "few surprises" of the poll is there's a Republican split in LD18.

Well, that would be a surprise if you hadn't read my column this week. Or any weeks previous.

The real surprise to me is the following quote, pointed out by a journo colleague of mine: "Pearce lags behind when it came to Democratic voters, who heavily favored Lewis, 51 percent to 36.4 percent."

Huh? 36.4 percent of Mesa Ds for Russ? Hell, if they can find a dozen actual Ds in all of Mesa who "favor" Pearce, I'll eat my gas tank slathered in HP sauce. And that's only after I check these so-called Ds for lobotomy scars.


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79 comments
Former Republican
Former Republican

It's time to get rid of de-facto governor Russell Pearce and elect a senator for the people NOT the special interests that "control" Pearce and the state of Arizona. For those who want a better future for Arizona and families, education and stronger communities .......

VOTE FOR JERRY LEWIS! 

Catmando
Catmando

Wow! Jerry Lewis gets kicked off of the MD telethon, and now he wants to steal someone's job in the Arizona senate?  What a tool.  Dude needs to retire and slink back to France.

maxparraz
maxparraz

Just a reminder to all you Lewis dupes - you can always change your vote if you have already voted!

Robert Courtney
Robert Courtney

Pearce will not lose.I'll be back Wednesday morning and we'll talk about it.Wishful thinking isn't cutting it.Watch, see, and weep.

Out to Lunch
Out to Lunch

The big question is after he is booted to which post GED Jan will appoint him so he can stay on the public gravy train?

Oblivious Cortex
Oblivious Cortex

I like John Loredo's prediction on Brahm Resnik's show this weekend:  Lewis wins by double digits.

Two of the guests point out the same thing I did about the Capital Crimes "let's auto dial people at home on a Tuesday" poll:  The "independent" sample was woefully small.

guest
guest

Here's to hoping that they buy him a new pair of cement shoes and throw him an anchor....

DNichols
DNichols

Why are Pearce, his Brother, his two Neices, Mrs. Cortes, the Tea Party Officials, and all Stellar LD18 Voters that knowingly signed the Fraudulent Mrs. Cortes Ballot, evn while being held in the hands of the Pearce Family, and many being told that it was a Scheme to help re-elect Russell Pearce, not being Charged with their Felony Crimanal Activity?

This seems like "Cult" Activity?

A Mass Felony?

Good ole Corrupted L.D.S. 18 District.

To: True Justice for All, even Criminals calling them selves "Saints"?

Russell Pearce
Russell Pearce

I would like to say to all my detracters, I only beat my wives a few times.  I mean, what woman didn't deserve a good beat?

Also, sure, I altered a friends DUI record, but really, wouldn't you do that for a good friend?

Yes, I got all those free trips from the Fiesta Bowl, but heck, I'm the President of the Senate, I deserve all those freebies.

Sure, I balanced the budget by selling off all our state buildings, but heck, it got me re-elected, you'd do the same thing.

Yes, spending went up 60 percent while I was the appropriation chairman, but fortunately, I can blame the former gov!

maxparraz
maxparraz

Parraz has his hand so far up Lewis's ass it will need to be surgically removed!

Jason
Jason

A slight margin, while good news, is not enough.

The people of LD18, if they want to restore sanity back to Arizona politics, must boot Pearce out on his sorry ass and welcome Jerry Lewis.

Pearce will fall, I have no doubt about that. Lewis will win, I have no doubt about that also.

AZ FAIL
AZ FAIL

Thank you, Stephen, for all that you have done to expose the piece of animal filth that is Russell Pearce. You deserve some kind of medal for your efforts, or maybe a Pulitzer. The state of Arizona will be a better place when that piece of animal filth loses his job on Tuesday, and hopefully that’s just the beginning. Next I hope you and the rest of the New Times staff will turn your attention to that nasty little alcoholic high school dropout with the rapist son that we somehow elected governor, and turn the pressure up on that shriveled, pathetic little lobbyists’ bitch until she is forced to resign or gets recalled herself for basically bending over and letting the state be taken over by lobbyists. She needs to be the next recall target (not that any of her nasty little underlings like “Broomhandle” Bennett and Horney Toad Tom are any better, but that is another rant…) That said, I don’t think we’ve heard or seen the last of Pearce. He’s nothing if not pugnacious, and if he gets recalled, he is not going to go quietly. I would not be surprised at all if he doesn’t challenge the results in court and demand all kinds of recounts, and if that fails, he may resort to more drastic measures. I have been in AZ long enough (unfortunately) to recall an incident about 20 years or so ago when a chairman of the Navajo tribe was accused of massive corruption, and subsequently forced from office. His supporters claimed the whole thing was a witch hunt, and refused to recognize the chairman’s replacement. When the new chairman showed up to take office, a number of the prior chairman’s supporters also showed up, baseball bats and other weapons in hand, to prevent the new chairman from taking his rightful seat. Basically a riot broke out, with several arrests and injuries. Sadly, it would not surprise me at all if something similar happens the day Jerry Lewis arrives to take over Pearce’s seat.

Lazik11
Lazik11

Moron maxparraz, you've wasted our time with 50+ posts of this Parazz nonsense.  NO ONE is buying your bullshit here. Fucking peg boy, your annoying shit is just tiring.   Yeah I called you peg boy.  Perfect description of you and your ilk.  Let me go a step further and quote one of your own, Chem Trail.... "FUCK OFF!!!"

maxparraz
maxparraz

and there you go. Lewis is the puppet of the Parraz and the Democrats. Now we know why there is the recall. Lewis would not even stand ANY chance of winning in a geneal election. His ONLY chance will be turning out the democrat vote

Oblivious Cortex
Oblivious Cortex

Are you sure you can come back on Wednesday?  You don't have to appear in court as a character witness for Matt Tolman?

Or is it a case of him not having any character?

DNichols
DNichols

The American Electoral Process being Rigged, and Manipulated with a ringer Candidate is funny?

Wow, "We are a land of Laws", but only the one's we don't think are funny?

To: Hypocrits.

maxparraz
maxparraz

Why are Parraz, the Unions, PDA, moveon.org, the Open Borders crowd, and all Stellar LD18 Voters that knowingly signed the Fraudulent Mr. Lewis Ballot, evn while being held in the hands of the democrats, and many being told that it was a Scheme to help elect a republican, not being Charged with their Felony Crimanal Activity?

DNichols
DNichols

Russell you are a Criminal, what part of "Illegal do you not understand?"

Fact Russell; For every Good, Hard Working Immigrant Deported since January 2008 America has lost over four times as many Jobs!

Fact: The Deportations Triggered, and caused the "Foreclosure Crisis."

Fact: The Immigrants vacated dwellings have left entire States like Arizona overbuilt, completely halting All private sector Construction/Growth, costing millions of Americans their Construction related Jobs.These vacated dwellings have left our State with massive excesses of Govern,ment Services, like You, and matching Budget deficits.

Fact: The Hard Labor Immigrants gladly did for America was the Foundation of our once Strong Economy, and this Hard Labor supported All other American Jobs, including your useless one.

"America is great because it is good, when it ceases to be good, it ceases to be great."Alex DeTocqueville

You Mr. Pearce are not a "Good" Person.

This is our I.C.E.'d Economy, and you are largely to blame.

Keep taking gifts/Bribes, Rigging Elections, and all of your other Criminal Acticvity, Yuo"Latter Day Saint" You.

To: True Justice for you and all of your Fellow "Sham" Felons, even the Criminal "Saints" involved!

Choose The Right, Brother Pearce.

Jason
Jason

Do us all a favor and concede the recall election to Jerry Lewis.

Your sorry ass will fall come Tuesday, and Jerry will be welcomed as the new LD18 senator.

Bnbk
Bnbk

Muy Babosa Sancha- Did the surgeons run in to complications when they removed your head out of RuSSell Pearce's ass ?

JeffFarias
JeffFarias

the only thing you've exposed is your own stupidity

maxparraz
maxparraz

Parraz's CBA has given so far, 7k to the Lewis camapign

Bnbk
Bnbk

Hey Muy Babosa Sancha,This is only the first of many more recalls. Recalls against all you extreme Tea Turds.The corrution cleansing effort will persist into the general election.Hold on Sancha,it's going to be a wild ride.

DNichols
DNichols

Mr. Max? Who Ever?

One is a real class five felony by Pearce and his Fellow Felons in this the State of Arizona.

The other is a figment of your imagination?

I can not believe that any one could condone a Mass Felony by two thousand or more, even to re-elect their Cult Leader/Furor Russell Pearce.

How could so many claiming to be of all things "Latter Day Saints", commit a felony to save a Bad Person like Russell Pearce's corrupt , and cushy Job?

To: Liberty, and "True Justice for All", even Pretending "Saints"!

DNichols
DNichols

Mr. ? Brave Anonymous? One is a True Class five Felony by Pearce and his Corruption Ring in this the State of Arizona, the other is a figment of your imagination, please seek help?

Pearce's So Called "Sham" is actually a serious Felony!

No Joking, two thousand People in Corrupt L.D.S. 18 implicated them selves for their Cult Leader/ Furor Pearce.

To: Liberty, and "True Justice For All!"

Rob
Rob

Last I checked maxiepad, Pearce listed endorsements from no less than 8 unions on his website.

Jason
Jason

Your hero and savior Pearce committed a Class 5 felony by allowing sham candidate Olivia Cortes on the ballot in a sick attempt to siphon votes away from Lewis and help Pearce retain his Senate seat.

All in violation of Article VII Section XII of the Arizona Constitution, Arizona Revised Statute 16-1006, and a 1959 Arizona Supreme Court ruling.

Doesn't your hero Pearce call himself "Mr. Rule of Law?"

Do us all a favor. STFU and GTFOOH.

Yourproductsucks
Yourproductsucks

Pssst. It's not really Russel Pearce you are addressing. It's cute though, the fullibity you and Jason exhibited.

Jason
Jason

Yep. It's what he does best.

maxparraz
maxparraz

and in the next one, there will be 6 additional candidates to split the vote. LOL

Jason
Jason

And Pearce accepted more than $230,000 from out of state donations.

Jason
Jason

Really?

What can the SOS do? Turn the non-existent "evidence" over to corrupt AG Tom Horne, who already has a conflict?

You really do live in a sad, delusional world. It really sucks to be you.

Get this straight: Pearce WILL fall like a ton of bricks, and Lewis WILL be welcomed as the new LD18 senator.

maxparraz
maxparraz

CBA committed a class 5 felony by coordinating with the Lewis campaign while it was still organized as a recall committee. the evidence has been sent to SOS

Sophie Tesch
Sophie Tesch

You know how I know it's not the real Russell Pearce. Because the real Russell Pearce doesn't give a crap about what his constituents think. He's made that clear. He wouldn't post here, because he doesn't think he did anything wrong. Now, I think most of us, if we were recalled would at least take one fleeting moment to say "Hey, I wonder why they recalled me?" Maybe we'd as our administrative assistant about that stack of letters that came in, the full voice mail boxes, the emails, the denied appearance requests (even though it is EVERY citizens Constitutional right to petition their government and speak to their elected representatives). And let's talk about being representative. How can you be representative when you don't consult your constituents? In addition, not show up for debates or town halls that are not rigged in your favor. 

One thing that really struck me about Russell Pearce was when I went to a campaign debate when he was defending his seat in Arizona House of Representatives. I was looking for a bathroom before it got started and stumbled into a crowd (15-20) of armed police officers waiting upstairs presumably to stifle any "agitators" that may have come to offer a negative opinion of Mr. Pearce. Then again, in front of the Senate building President Pearce has armed police standing at the front door. In the Senate Gallery people must sit one row back so they can be properly watched by armed security. And I wonder. If you are doing such an amazing job as Senate President, or as an elected official at all. Why do you feel the need to be protected from your constituents with the potential use of lethal force? Shouldn't you be beloved by the people you serve or at least not fear that they'd do you bodily harm? Then he votes in a militia to serve the governor on a whim. More armed protection and you know he saw himself as the next Governor. If you are doing a good job for the people, they should want to shake your hand and thank you for your wonderful service. 

If an official gets recalled, if they feel the need to have lethal force present to protect them from the people they are supposedly helping, if they are not asked to speak anywhere nor welcome many places in the City they are supposed to be serving and they still can't figure out "Hey maybe something is going wrong here." Then to me that proves that person inept or not mentally healthy enough to be holding power in public office, much less one of the most powerful seats in the State. 

Bnbk
Bnbk

Muy Babosa Sancha- That's the best strategy you Tea Turd  extremist can come up with,by all means have at it ! Split away at the Republi-con vote.Meanwhile the clock is ticking Sancha.  

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